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Follow My +EV Bets: Daily Betting Insights

Day 2 of this new series, where I share my favorite +EV bets throughout the day. I would also suggest following me on X to get most of these bets as well, simply because it's easier for me to post there if I'm not behind a computer.

Yesterday I finished (-0.23u). Looking to get back on track today, so make sure you are following along with me throughout this process!

How it Works

As a seasoned bettor, I’m always on the lookout for bets that offer positive expected value, meaning they are statistically likely to provide a profit over the long run. In this series, I'll explain why I believe each bet is +EV, so you can follow along and learn to identify these opportunities yourself.

I use Daily Grind Fantasy to assist me in making these picks, and I would highly suggest this platform for any bettor looking to take the next step in sports betting. MORE importantly, you need to use this tool if you are struggling to find time to research bets consistently.

Use Code "BENCH" for 25% off your 1st month!

Daily Grind Fantasy

Once you've done this, DM me on X letting me know you just signed up! From there you can ask me any questions about Sports Betting/+EV Betting/Daily Grind Fantasy.

Screenshot of Daily Grind Fantasy Optimizer Tool!

PrizePicks Slips:

PrizePicks Slip #1: 10x Payout‍
  1. Zicssi o2.0 Map 1 Kills - ❌
  2. Keduii u5.0 Map 1 Kills - ❌
  3. Robert Macintyre o5.0 Birdies or Better
  4. Dylan Cease o6.0 Strikeouts - ✅
  5. Bobby Witt Jr. o9.0 Fantasy Score - ✅
Result #1: TBD
PrizePicks Slip #2: 5x Payout‍
  1. Alex Bregman u8.0 Fantasy Score - ✅
  2. Roansy Contreras u3.5 Strikeouts - ✅
  3. Bryce Harper u10.0 Fantasy Score - ✅
Result #2: WIN (5x Payout)
PrizePicks Slip #3: 25x Payout‍
  1. Carlos Carrasco o3.0 Strikeouts - 🅿️
  2. Joey Estes u4.0 Strikeouts - ❌
  3. DJ Herz o4.0 Strikeouts - ❌
  4. A'ja Wilson u11.5 Rebounds
  5. Aliyah Boston o8.5 Rebounds
  6. Hayden Wesneski o2.5 Strikeouts - ✅
Result #3: TBD
PrizePicks Slip #4: 5x Payout‍
  1. Miguel Sano o1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs - ❌
  2. Carlos Carrasco o3.0 Strikeouts - 🅿️
  3. Joey Estes u4.0 Strikeouts - ❌
Result #4: Loss (-1 Unit)
PrizePicks Slip #5: 5x Payout‍
  1. Luis Gil + Sean Manaea o11.0 Ks - ❌
  2. Gavin Stone + Erick Fedde u10.0 Ks - ❌
  3. Simeon Woods Richardson u4.0 Ks - 🅿️
Result #5: Loss (-1 Unit)
PrizePicks Slip #6: 5x Payout‍
  1. DJ Herz + Dylan Cease o10.5 Ks - ❌
  2. Simeon Woods Richardson u4.0 Ks - 🅿️
  3. Gavin Stone u5.0 Strikeouts - ❌
Result #6: Loss (-1 Unit)
PrizePicks Slip #7: 5x Payout‍
  1. Olleh u1.0 Maps 1-2 Kills
  2. Morgan u3.5 Maps 1-2 Kills
  3. Kingen o4.5 Maps 1-2 Kills
Result #7: TBD
PrizePicks Slip #8: 5x Payout‍
  1. ShowMaker o8.5 Map 1-2 Kills
  2. Sylvie u3.5 Map 1-2 Kills
  3. Bdd o7.0 Map 1-2 Kills
  4. YoungJae u3.5 Map 1-2 Kills
  5. Olleh u1.0 Map 1-2 Kills
  6. FBI o8.0 Map 1-2 Kills 
Result #8: TBD

This slip was created striaght from the Daily Grinf Fantasy AI generated Tool. This play has a high correlation score, and I used my $10 protected play from PrizePicks to make this League of Legends Play!

Underdog Slips:

Underdog Slip #1: 25x Payout‍
  1. Ryan Pepiot u2.0 Earned Runs Allowed - ✅
  2. Carlos Carrasco u3.5 Strikeouts - ✅
  3. Spencer Arrighetti u6.5 Strikeouts - ❌
  4. Gavin Stone u2.0 Earned Runs Allowed - ✅
  5. George Kirby u6.5 Strikeouts - ❌
  6. Yariel Rodriguez o3.5 Strikeouts - DNP
Result #1: Loss (-1 Unit)

Betr Picks Slips:

Betr Picks Slip #1: 5x Payout‍
  1. Alex Verdugo u1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs - ❌
  2. Nolan Gorman u1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs - ✅
  3. Tyler Freeman o1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs - ❌
Result #1: Loss (-1 unit)

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ParlayPlay Slips:

No Current Slips being Played.

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Fliff Slips:

Fliff Slip #1: (-130)‍
  1. Joey Estes u4.5 Strikeouts

Average Odds from 5 major sports books (-162). This indicates that Fliff is off when creating this line, and we want to take advantage of it.

Result: Loss (-1 Unit)
Fliff Slip #2: (-105)‍
  1. Atlanta Braves vs St. Louis Cardinals o4.5 Runs (1H - 1st 5 Innings) - ✅

Average Odds from 4 major sports books (-119). This gives us an edge of 14 from the rest of the market. It's exactly what we look for when making these bets on Fliff!

Result: WIN (+0.95 Units)
Fliff Slip #3: (-130)‍
  1. Atlanta Braves vs St. Louis Cardinals o7.5 Total Runs - ✅

Average Odds from 5 major sports books (-159). This gives us an edge of 29 from the rest of the market, which is just crazy. This entire process took me less than 30 seconds to play this bet thanks to Daily Grind Fantasy.

Result: WIN (+0.77 Units)
Fliff Slip #4: (+298)‍
  1. Grayson Rodriguez o4.5 Strikeouts (-130)
  2. Gavin Stone u4.5 Strikeouts (+125)

Fliff is offering a difference of 22 on Grayson Rodriguez's vig compared to 7 other major sports books. While this play is slightly under +EV metrics because of the inflated line of (-130). Nonetheless, there is profit to be made so why not pair it with the Gavin Stone Strikeout line which is also slight under the +EV metrics as well. We are getting a difference of 14 on this play compared to 7 other sports books as well.

Pair these 2 plays and bet a smaller unit size (0.5u) to maximize your profits today!

Result: Loss (-0.5 Units)

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Final Thoughts

Remember, the goal of +EV betting is to make profits over the long term. It’s not about winning every single bet but consistently placing bets where the odds are in your favor. Track these bets and see how they perform. I’ll be updating this series regularly, so stay tuned for more insights and bets.

Happy betting, and may the odds be ever in your favor!