For this showdown between the Cleveland Guardians and the Baltimore Orioles, one prop bet stands out: Tanner Bibee Under 1.5 walks. 

Let’s breakdown why this is an intriguing bet.

Recent Performance:

Tanner Bibee has demonstrated exceptional control in recent outings. In his last 10 games, he has allowed under 1.5 walks in 9 of them. Even more impressively, he has maintained this streak for 6 straight games, including matchups against two of the top 10 teams in terms of total walks taken.

On the flipside, the Baltimore Orioles' aggressive offensive approach makes this an especially favorable matchup for Bibee. The Orioles currently have the 3rd lowest walk percentage (BB%) in the league at just 7.1%. Despite their aggressiveness, they have also excelled in other offensive categories, ranking 1st in Batting Average, On Base Percentage (OBP), and Slugging Percentage (SLG) over the past 30 games. Look for the Orioles to continue swinging early and often, which plays right into Bibee’s strength.

Bibee ranks in the 72nd percentile among starting pitchers with a walk rate (BB%) of only 6.2%. His strong control on the mound has been a key factor in his ability to keep his walk totals low. This proficiency will be crucial against a team like Baltimore, which doesn’t typically work deep counts or draw many walks.

Snapshot taken from Outlier.Bet
BET: Tanner Bibee u1.5 Walks Allowed
Result: TBD